Nations League · Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Serbia
VS
Netherlands
Serbia win
34%
Draw
31%
Netherlands win
35%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.5
Expected shots
11 – 12
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 09:48 (UK time).