Nations League · Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Norway
VS
Portugal
Norway win
44%
Draw
30%
Portugal win
26%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.3
Expected shots
11 – 16
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 09:48 (UK time).