Serie A · Monday, 2 November 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)
Sassuolo
VS
Fiorentina
Sassuolo win
45%
Draw
24%
Fiorentina win
31%
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.4
Expected shots
13 – 19
Match analysis
Sassuolo holds a real edge (45% vs 31%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (24%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 06:03 (UK time).