Atalanta vs Parma prediction

Serie A · Monday, 2 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Atalanta

Parma

Atalanta win

84%

Draw

11%

Parma win

Expected goals

3.1 – 0.7

Expected shots

23 – 9

Match analysis

Atalanta dominates this matchup: 84% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 5% for Parma. Atalanta frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 65% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 06:03 (UK time).

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