Premier League · Monday, 2 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Newcastle
VS
Everton
Newcastle win
38%
Draw
30%
Everton win
32%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.1
Expected shots
14 – 13
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Newcastle and Everton finish within a few points of each other (38% vs 32%), with the draw at 30%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 06:03 (UK time).