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Romania vs Poland prediction

Nations League · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Romania
VS
Poland
Romania win
27%
Draw
28%
Poland win
45%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.5
Expected shots
12 – 24

Match analysis

Poland holds a real edge (45% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:25 (UK time).

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