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Portugal vs Denmark prediction

Nations League · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Portugal
VS
Denmark
Portugal win
68%
Draw
19%
Denmark win
13%
Expected goals
2.3 – 0.9
Expected shots
19 – 10

Match analysis

Portugal dominates this matchup: 68% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 13% for Denmark. Portugal frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:25 (UK time).

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