Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Pontivy GSI
VS
TA Rennes
Pontivy GSI win
56%
Draw
27%
TA Rennes win
17%
Expected goals
1.6 – 0.8
Expected shots
20 – 11
Match analysis
Pontivy GSI comes out on top in most scenarios (56% win rate), but TA Rennes finds a way in 18% of simulations.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:24 (UK time).