Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
OM Cambrai
VS
Amiens
OM Cambrai win
25%
Draw
30%
Amiens win
45%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.3
Expected shots
12 – 18
Match analysis
Amiens holds a real edge (45% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (30%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 47% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:25 (UK time).