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Norway vs Wales prediction

Nations League · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Norway
VS
Wales
Norway win
69%
Draw
19%
Wales win
12%
Expected goals
2.3 – 0.9
Expected shots
25 – 8

Match analysis

Norway dominates this matchup: 69% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 12% for Wales. Norway frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 52% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:55 (UK time).

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