Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 18:00 (UK time)
Macaire
VS
Nueillaubiers
Macaire win
47%
Draw
31%
Nueillaubiers win
22%
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.8
Expected shots
11 – 11
Match analysis
Macaire holds a real edge (47% vs 22%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 50% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:25 (UK time).