Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 18:00 (UK time)
Lourdes
VS
PAU
Lourdes win
33%
Draw
27%
PAU win
40%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.5
Expected shots
13 – 13
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Lourdes and PAU finish within a few points of each other (33% vs 40%), with the draw at 27%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:25 (UK time).