Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Le Touquet
VS
Avranches
Le Touquet win
55%
Draw
24%
Avranches win
21%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.1
Expected shots
16 – 14
Match analysis
Le Touquet comes out on top in most scenarios (55% win rate), but Avranches finds a way in 21% of simulations. Le Touquet frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 42% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:24 (UK time).