Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Grau-du-Roi
VS
Riviera
Grau-du-Roi win
33%
Draw
30%
Riviera win
37%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.2
Expected shots
14 – 14
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Grau-du-Roi and Riviera finish within a few points of each other (33% vs 37%), with the draw at 30%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 05:54 (UK time).