Nations League · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Georgia
VS
Hungary
Georgia win
23%
Draw
33%
Hungary win
44%
Expected goals
0.8 – 1.2
Expected shots
9 – 19
Match analysis
Hungary holds a real edge (44% vs 24%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (33%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 51% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:55 (UK time).