Premier League · Friday, 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Everton
VS
Coventry
Everton win
41%
Draw
30%
Coventry win
29%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.0
Expected shots
14 – 13
Match analysis
Everton holds a real edge (41% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (30%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 48% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 30 October at 00:23 (UK time).