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Dijon vs Metz prediction

Ligue 2 · Monday, 12 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Dijon
VS
Metz
Dijon win
50%
Draw
29%
Metz win
21%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.1
Expected shots
15 – 11

Match analysis

Dijon holds a real edge (50% vs 21%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (29%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 5 October at 01:18 (UK time).

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