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Atalanta vs Venezia prediction

Serie A · Monday, 12 October 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)

Atalanta
VS
Venezia
Atalanta win
41%
Draw
32%
Venezia win
27%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.2
Expected shots
17 – 13

Match analysis

Atalanta holds a real edge (41% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (32%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 5 October at 01:18 (UK time).

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