Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)
Choisy au Bac
VS
Caen
Choisy au Bac win
53%
Draw
24%
Caen win
23%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.2
Expected shots
18 – 19
Match analysis
Choisy au Bac comes out on top in most scenarios (53% win rate), but Caen finds a way in 23% of simulations. Choisy au Bac frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 40% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:54 (UK time).