Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (UK time)
Cheruy
VS
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Cheruy win
47%
Draw
26%
Bourg-en-bresse 01 win
27%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.2
Expected shots
18 – 17
Match analysis
Cheruy holds a real edge (47% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:55 (UK time).