Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 18:00 (UK time)
Chauny
VS
Le Pays du Valois
Chauny win
26%
Draw
31%
Le Pays du Valois win
43%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.3
Expected shots
12 – 11
Match analysis
Le Pays du Valois holds a real edge (43% vs 26%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 48% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:25 (UK time).