Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Caen PTT
VS
Chambly Thelle FC
Caen PTT win
47%
Draw
23%
Chambly Thelle FC win
30%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.6
Expected shots
15 – 15
Match analysis
Caen PTT holds a real edge (47% vs 30%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (23%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:55 (UK time).