Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 18:00 (UK time)
Buxerolles
VS
Sablé
Buxerolles win
45%
Draw
31%
Sablé win
24%
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.8
Expected shots
13 – 14
Match analysis
Buxerolles holds a real edge (45% vs 23%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 49% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 05:55 (UK time).