Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 18:00 (UK time)
Bressuire
VS
Challans
Bressuire win
50%
Draw
28%
Challans win
22%
Expected goals
1.5 – 0.9
Expected shots
13 – 12
Match analysis
Bressuire holds a real edge (50% vs 22%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 45% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:24 (UK time).