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Balma vs Castanet prediction

Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)

Balma
VS
Castanet
Balma win
59%
Draw
25%
Castanet win
16%
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.8
Expected shots
12 – 13

Match analysis

Balma comes out on top in most scenarios (59% win rate), but Castanet finds a way in 16% of simulations. Balma frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 42% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:24 (UK time).

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