Nations League · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Austria
VS
Rep. Of Ireland
Austria win
58%
Draw
24%
Rep. Of Ireland win
18%
Expected goals
1.8 – 0.9
Expected shots
15 – 6
Match analysis
Austria comes out on top in most scenarios (57% win rate), but Rep. Of Ireland finds a way in 18% of simulations. Austria frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 42% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 09:25 (UK time).