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Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction

Serie A · Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)

Final score: Sassuolo 2 – 6 Lazio

The outcome rated most likely (a Lazio win, 49%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Sassuolo
VS
Lazio
Sassuolo win
25%
Draw
26%
Lazio win
49%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.6
Expected shots
10 – 17

Match analysis

Lazio holds a real edge (49% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (27%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 27 October at 16:33 (UK time).

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