AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction
Final score: AS Roma 4 – 2 Cagliari
The outcome rated most likely (a AS Roma win, 70%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
AS RomaVS
CagliariAS Roma win
70%
Draw
20%
Cagliari win
10%
Expected goals
2.1 – 0.6
Expected shots
25 – 5
Match analysis
AS Roma dominates this matchup: 70% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for Cagliari. AS Roma frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 27 October at 19:03 (UK time).
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